BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Carolina

Class: 1A Class Rank: 59 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (6-3) Overall: (9-4) Overall Strength =  151.74

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/27/2022 Home    W   147.24  56  24   1B  69 (  9-  2) Florida A&M            -4.16 *   36.16                      
  2 09/03/2022 Away    W   151.37  63  61   1A  70 (  6-  6) Appalachian St         -0.02      2.02                      
  3 09/10/2022 Away    W   151.69  35  28   1A  86 (  4-  8) Georgia St              0.29      6.71                      
  4 09/24/2022 Home    L   145.44  32  45   1A  25 (  8-  4) Notre Dame             -5.96     -7.04                      
  5 10/01/2022 Home    W * 168.19  41  10   1A  96 (  3-  8) Virginia Tech          16.80     14.20                      
  6 10/08/2022 Away    W * 147.20  27  24   1A  91 (  5-  7) Miami FL               -4.19      7.19                      
  7 10/15/2022 Away    W * 158.68  38  35   1A  51 (  8-  4) Duke                    7.29     -4.29                      
  8 10/29/2022 Home    W * 171.21  42  24   1A  44 (  8-  4) Pittsburgh             19.82     -1.82                      
  9 11/05/2022 Away    W * 147.20  31  28   1A  88 (  3-  7) Virginia               -4.19      7.19                      
 10 11/12/2022 Away    W * 159.42  36  34   1A  40 (  7-  5) Wake Forest             8.02     -6.02                      
 11 11/19/2022 Home    L * 136.02  17  21   1A  93 (  5-  7) Georgia Tech          -15.38     11.38                      
 12 11/25/2022 Home    L * 149.14  27  30   1A  55 (  8-  4) North Carolina St      -2.26     -0.74                      
 13 12/03/2022 Neutral L * 135.33  10  39   1A  13 ( 11-  2) Clemson               -16.07    -12.93                      
      Averages             151.39  35.0 31.0

Best game:  171.21 = 18 point win over Pittsburgh
Worst game: 135.33 = 29 point loss to Clemson
Team stdev:  10.72